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SPF

About

The Survey of Professional Forecasters is the oldest quarterly survey of macroeconomic forecasts in the United States. The survey began in 1968 and was conducted by the American Statistical Association and the National Bureau of Economic Research. The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia took over the survey in 1990. 

SKBI Principal Researcher, Thomas Lam, has been participating in the Survey of Professional Forecasters over the years.

 

2023 Q3
Forecasters Make Upward Revisions to Near-Term Growth and Job Gains

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2023 Q2
Forecasters Maintain Their Expectations for Growth in 2023.

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2023 Q1
Forecasters See Higher Growth and Stronger Labor Market in 2023.

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2022 Q4
Forecasters Predict Lower Growth and Higher Unemployment Rate.

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2022 Q3
Forecasters See Slower Growth.

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2022 Q2
Forecasters Predict Slower Growth.

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2022 Q1
Forecasters See Slower Growth in the First Quarter.

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2021 Q4
Forecasters Project Slower Growth with Lower Unemployment.

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2021 Q3
Forecasters predict lower current-quarter growth, followed by stronger growth over subsequent quarters.

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2021 Q2
The Survey forecasts faster pace of economic rebound with stronger labor markets.

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2021 Q1
The Survey forecasts stronger economic rebound with lower unemployment.

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2020 Q4
The Survey forecasts slower near-term growth in the US but brighter outlook for employment.

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2020 Q3
Higher Growth in the Current Quarter.

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2020 Q2
Sharply Lower Growth in the Current Quarter, Followed by Recovery.

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2020 Q1
Stronger Output Growth and Higher Job Gains in 2020.

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2019 Q4
Lower Near-Term Growth.

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2019 Q3
Forecasters See Weaker Outlook for Near-Term Growth.

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2019 Q2
Forecasters See Lower Near-Term Growth.

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2019 Q1
Lower Near-Term Output Growth.

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2018 Q4
Weaker Near-Term Growth amid Stronger Job Gains.

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