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SMU Assistant Professor of Finance Shihao Yu co-authored a working paper with Stanford researchers that identified Polymarket Bitcoin settlement manipulation as a structural problem rather than an inherent flaw in prediction markets, estimating that the mechanics shifted roughly $1.28 million from ordinary participants to more sophisticated traders over the period analysed. Researchers also found recurring patterns of concentrated spot buying or selling on Binance in the final seconds before each contract settled.

*Related Research: Settlement Manipulation in Prediction Markets (working paper)

A new research by Iris Claus and Leo Krippner associated with the International Monetary Fund's Institute for Capacity Development and IMF–Singapore Regional Training Institute, alongside SMU’s Sim Kee Boon Institute, the University of Waikato and the Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis at the Australian National University, constructs standardised measures of macroeconomic shocks and uncertainty across 14 economies. The research offers policymakers a framework for answering that question by tracking how professional forecasts for growth and inflation change in real time.

DBS Group Research and SMU’s Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics (SKBI) released the latest Singapore Index of Inflation Expectations (SInDEx) which showed that Singaporeans expect headline inflation to reach 3.4% over the next 12 months, up from 3.3% in March. The report found that 87.7% expect inflation to rise over the next year, down from 88.3% in March. Only 4.3% expect inflation to fall. Amongst those expecting higher inflation, almost 60% cited geopolitical conflicts and uncertainty as the main reason, followed by supply chain disruptions at 14.3%.

The SMU Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics (SKBI) and the University of Maryland Centre for Financial Policy organised the Quant Investment Forum, hosted by UBS. The event marked SKBI’s 16th Annual Conference and convened over 150 leading academics and industry practitioners for a research-focused exchange on the intersection of AI and investment management and trading.

SMU’s Keppel Professor in Financial Economics and Director of SKBI Zhang Hong said the forum reflects SMU's growing role in this domain. He spoke on the use of AI and large language models to measure the skill of mutual fund managers. Other SMU faculty at the conference were SMU Assistant Professor of Finance Shihao Yu, who spoke on collaboration between humans and AI in the research process, and SMU Associate Professor of Finance Jianfeng Hu who spoke on hedge fund trades.

The SMU Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics (SKBI) and the University of Maryland Centre for Financial Policy organised the Quant Investment Forum, hosted by UBS. The event marked SKBI’s 16th Annual Conference and convened over 150 leading academics and industry practitioners for a research-focused exchange on the intersection of AI and investment management and trading.

SMU’s Keppel Professor in Financial Economics and Director of SKBI Zhang Hong said the forum reflects SMU's growing role in this domain. He spoke on the use of AI and large language models to measure the skill of mutual fund managers. Other SMU faculty at the conference were SMU Assistant Professor of Finance Shihao Yu, who spoke on collaboration between humans and AI in the research process, and SMU Associate Professor of Finance Jianfeng Hu who spoke on hedge fund trades.

The SMU Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics (SKBI) and the University of Maryland Centre for Financial Policy organised the Quant Investment Forum, hosted by UBS. The event marked SKBI’s 16th Annual Conference and convened over 150 leading academics and industry practitioners for a research-focused exchange on the intersection of AI and investment management and trading.

SMU’s Keppel Professor in Financial Economics and Director of SKBI Zhang Hong said the forum reflects SMU's growing role in this domain. He spoke on the use of AI and large language models to measure the skill of mutual fund managers. Other SMU faculty at the conference were SMU Assistant Professor of Finance Shihao Yu, who spoke on collaboration between humans and AI in the research process, and SMU Associate Professor of Finance Jianfeng Hu who spoke on hedge fund trades.

The SMU Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics (SKBI) and the University of Maryland Centre for Financial Policy organised the Quant Investment Forum, hosted by UBS. The event marked SKBI’s 16th Annual Conference and convened over 150 leading academics and industry practitioners for a research-focused exchange on the intersection of AI and investment management and trading.

SMU’s Keppel Professor in Financial Economics and Director of SKBI Zhang Hong said the forum reflects SMU's growing role in this domain. He spoke on the use of AI and large language models to measure the skill of mutual fund managers. Other SMU faculty at the conference were SMU Assistant Professor of Finance Shihao Yu, who spoke on collaboration between humans and AI in the research process, and SMU Associate Professor of Finance Jianfeng Hu who spoke on hedge fund trades.

DBS Group Research and SMU’s Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics (SKBI) released the latest Singapore Index of Inflation Expectations (SInDEx) which showed that households in Singapore have modestly raised their expectations for near-term price increases, driven by mounting global uncertainties, supply chain disruptions and the spectre of new tariffs. The one-year-ahead headline inflation expectations climbed to an average of 3.4% in June, from 3.3% in March.

The SMU Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics (SKBI) and the University of Maryland Centre for Financial Policy organised the Quant Investment Forum, hosted by UBS. The event marked SKBI’s 16th Annual Conference and convened over 150 leading academics and industry practitioners for a research-focused exchange on the intersection of AI and investment management and trading.

SMU’s Keppel Professor in Financial Economics and Director of SKBI Zhang Hong said the forum reflects SMU's growing role in this domain. He spoke on the use of AI and large language models to measure the skill of mutual fund managers. Other SMU faculty at the conference were SMU Assistant Professor of Finance Shihao Yu, who spoke on collaboration between humans and AI in the research process, and SMU Associate Professor of Finance Jianfeng Hu who spoke on hedge fund trades.

Geopolitical conflicts and uncertainty top the list of concerns. Singaporeans expect headline inflation to reach 3.4% over the next 12 months, up from 3.3% in March, according to the DBS-SKBI Singapore Index of Inflation Expectations survey.

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